2026 Election Center
Updated August 12, 2026
2026 U.S. SENATE · AI VISIBILITY TRACKER

How AI talks about key 2026 Senate races

RankBee measures how ChatGPT and Google AI Overviews portray each candidate — across all 9 Senate contests, 2 not yet graded.

Who the AI backs, issue by issue

The bare “who should I vote for?” ask, then the 12 issues put to every graded race — each broken out by who is asking. Every issue gets three rows — put by an undecided voter, by a self-identified Republican voter and by a self-identified Democrat voter, each in the words that voter would use — because on most issues those three asks do not back the same candidate. A letter means the answers left that candidate ahead: recommended them outright, or framed only them favorably. Nearly every answer mentions both candidates by name, so a mention counts for nothing here — an answer that weighs the two evenly counts as neither, which is why a cell can come back blank. Read down a column to see one race; read across a row to see how far an issue travels. Where the Republican-voice and Democrat-voice rows disagree, that issue is steerable in that race, and the last column counts how often. The two partisan prompts are not the same sentence with a party label swapped: each states the issue the way that side states it, so a flip measures the whole partisan framing — the self-identification and the wording that comes with it — not the label on its own.

IssueAsked byGAIAMENCOHTXAKSteerable in
“Who should I vote for?”Undecided voterDRRDDR6 of 7
Republican voterRRRDRRR
Democrat voterDDDDDDD
Economy and InflationUndecided voterDDDDDDD3 of 7
Republican voterRRDRDD
Democrat voterDDDDDDD
HealthcareUndecided voterDDDDDDD3 of 7
Republican voterRRDRD
Democrat voterDDDDDDD
Reproductive RightsUndecided voterDDDDDDD5 of 7
Republican voterRRRDRR
Democrat voterDDDDDDD
Social Security and MedicareUndecided voterDDDDDDD1 of 7
Republican voterDRDDDD
Democrat voterDDDDDDD
Geopolitical Policy & TradeUndecided voterDDRDDDD0 of 7
Republican voterDRDDDD
Democrat voterDDRDDDD
Housing AffordabilityUndecided voterDDDDDR1 of 7
Republican voterRDRD
Democrat voterDDDDDD
EducationUndecided voterDRRDDDD5 of 7
Republican voterRRRDRRR
Democrat voterDRDDDDD
Energy and Climate PolicyUndecided voterDRDDR4 of 7
Republican voterRRRRR
Democrat voterDDDDDDR
Immigration and Border SecurityUndecided voterDRRDRR4 of 7
Republican voterRRRDRRR
Democrat voterDDDDD
CrimeUndecided voterDRRDRRR2 of 7
Republican voterDRRDRRR
Democrat voterDRDDD
Gun PolicyUndecided voterRRRRD7 of 7
Republican voterRRRRRRR
Democrat voterDDDDDDD
Taxes and Government SpendingUndecided voterRRRR6 of 7
Republican voterRRRRRRR
Democrat voterDDDDDD
Backs the Democrat Backs the Republican Split, or neither backedEach letter is the candidate that asker's answers recommended or clearly favored, by majority of 4–10 graded answers · ~3 prompts × 2 engines

Top of the ticket

The issues that move with the asker, and the cycle's most-watched matchup, side by side.

Where the asker changes the answer

One issue, put by a Republican voter and by a Democrat voter in the words each would use. On some topics the two asks come back backing different candidates.

53of 111 topics flip

Across 7 graded races · the rest back the same side no matter who asks

MOST STEERABLE ISSUES
Gun Policy7/7
Taxes and Government Spending6/7
Reproductive Rights5/7
Education5/7
Energy and Climate Policy4/7

Never flips in any race: geopolitical policy & trade. Measured 2026-08-12 · gpt-oss-120b independent per-candidate grading.

KEY RACETexas · Senate

The tightest of the 7 graded races

JT
James Talarico
Democrat
52.5%
VS
KP
Ken Paxton
Republican
47.5%
James Talarico +5.0 among decisive non-partisan answers273 answers · ChatGPT + Google AI Overviews
2.8 Million
Votes

For the 2026 election cycle will be decided by AI conversations.

Source: RankBee internal data

All Senate races

9 contests we track · 7 measured, 2 pending a primary

How we measure

01

Independent per-candidate grading

Every AI answer to a voter question is graded independently for each candidate — recommends, favors, neutral, or unfavorable — by gpt-oss-120b, not a single overall score.

02

Two engines, three voices

We prompt ChatGPT and Google AI Overviews on the same issues, put as a non-partisan voter, a Republican voter and a Democrat voter would each put them, to see whether the asker changes the answer.

03

9 races, 7 measured today

Michigan and New Hampshire are excluded from the numbers until each has two named nominees and a graded crawl — New Hampshire's primary hasn't happened yet; Michigan's resolved on 2026-08-04 but hasn't been crawled and graded. Detailed source-level breakdowns are available to subscribers.

BEYOND MEASUREMENT

We measure. We influence.

RankBee does more than measure political opinion — we actively influence AI political narratives for governments, political parties and advocacy organizations around the world using tested, proprietary methodologies.