Georgia Senate 2026
Comparing Jon Ossoff with Mike Collins
AI backs Jon Ossoff to undecided voters far more often than Mike Collins — 87.7% to 12.3%.
Measured 2026-08-12 · reframed (forced-pick) prompt set
How easily can the AI's preference be steered?
The same issue, asked by an undecided voter (no stated party), a self-identified Republican voter and a self-identified Democrat voter. Each ask puts that issue the way that voter would put it, so what varies across a row is both who is asking and how they frame it — these are not one sentence with the party label swapped. Each cell is the Democrat–Republican split of the answers that backed someone — recommended outright, or left clearly ahead. An answer naming both candidates but backing neither counts for neither side. Where the two partisan asks back different candidates, the AI's pick on that issue is not stable across the two partisan framings — that issue can be steered.
| Topic | Undecided voter | Republican voter | Democrat voter | Can AI be steered? |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hurricane Helene Federal Agricultural Disaster Relief | 6D–0R | 4D–0R | 5D–0R | No — always D |
| Crime | 3D–2R | 5D–0R | 3D–1R | No — always D |
| Georgia Military Construction Funding | 5D–0R | 3D–1R | 4D–0R | No — always D |
| Social Security and Medicare | 3D–0R | 2D–1R | 5D–0R | No — always D |
| Geopolitical Policy & Trade | 3D–0R | 2D–0R | 5D–0R | No — always D |
| Housing Affordability | 4D–0R | 2D–2R | 5D–0R | No — D or a tie |
| Taxes and Government Spending | 0D–2R | 0D–6R | 1D–1R | No — R or a tie |
| Economy and Inflation | 3D–0R | 1D–1R | 2D–0R | No — D or a tie |
| Overall Race | 4D–0R | 1D–4R | 7D–0R | Yes — pick flips |
| Energy and Climate Policy | 4D–0R | 0D–5R | 4D–0R | Yes — pick flips |
| Gun Policy | 1D–2R | 0D–4R | 6D–0R | Yes — pick flips |
| Education | 4D–0R | 0D–4R | 4D–0R | Yes — pick flips |
| Healthcare | 4D–0R | 1D–2R | 3D–1R | Yes — pick flips |
| Reproductive Rights | 3D–0R | 1D–2R | 5D–0R | Yes — pick flips |
| Federal Voting Rights Legislation | 1D–0R | 0D–4R | 4D–0R | Yes — pick flips |
| Immigration and Border Security | 2D–1R | 0D–4R | 2D–0R | Yes — pick flips |
Measured on the reframed (forced-pick) prompt set. Google rows where no AI Overview was generated are excluded from the matrix — they are a refusal to answer, not an undecided answer.
How AI sees the Georgia Senate candidates
Ask AI about an issue, and how often does it back each candidate? Every number below is that share — e.g. 56% means 56% of the AI answers we graded on that issue recommended or spoke favorably about that candidate. Each candidate is graded on their own, so the two columns don't add up to 100%.
Measured from 271 graded AI answers (2026-08-12, reframed prompts) · all three voice personas pooled per issue.
The scale behind the Georgia Senate numbers
Every answer below comes from an independent AI conversation about the Georgia Senate — not a single sample, but a full grid of voter questions asked in three distinct voices, across every issue voters say they care about, and graded independently.
AI perception of the Georgia Senate candidates
Recurring points in each candidate's favor, and points where AI answers turn critical, extracted from the graded answers themselves — not opinion, just what the excerpts actually say.
Georgia Military Construction Funding
AI answers highlight Ossoff’s role on the Senate Military Construction Appropriations Subcommittee,…
Housing Affordability Initiatives
Responses note Ossoff led bipartisan investigations of privatized military housing and helped pass t…
ACA Premium Subsidy Extension
Excerpts point to Ossoff repeatedly voting to extend enhanced ACA premium tax credits, aiming to kee…
Immigration Enforcement Record
AI answers note that Ossoff lacks a strong record on immigration enforcement and border security, co…
Gun‑Control Stance
The excerpts characterize Ossoff as supporting additional federal gun‑safety restrictions, making hi…
Federal Voter‑ID Opposition
According to the excerpts, Ossoff opposes voter‑ID bills and backs federal voting‑rights expansions,…
Fiscal Conservatism Record
AI answers note Collins earned a 100% Club for Growth rating and consistently supports low taxes, li…
Pro-Business Deregulation
The excerpts highlight Collins’ background as a trucking entrepreneur and his legislative push to cu…
Pro-Gun Rights Legislation
Multiple excerpts point to Collins co‑sponsoring H.R. 38 for national concealed‑carry reciprocity an…
Abortion Restriction Record
AI answers note Collins cosponsored the Life at Conception Act and supports abortion bans far strict…
Limited Federal Student Aid Support
The excerpts state Collins prioritizes cutting federal spending and offers no substantial record exp…
Opposition to ACA Subsidies
AI responses highlight Collins consistently voted against extending enhanced Affordable Care Act pre…
AI favorability over time
This is the first graded snapshot for the Georgia Senate (2026-08-12). A month-over-month trend needs repeated dated crawls graded the same way — it will appear here once a second data point exists.
Key sources driving AI conclusions
Every citation an AI answer showed its work with, classified by how that specific answer was graded toward each candidate.
Recent perception shifts
Perception shifts are computed by diffing two dated, graded crawls of the same prompts. Only one graded crawl exists for this race so far, so there's nothing to diff against yet.